Home > Research Centre > Labour Market and Skills > Jobs Online > November 2012

Jobs Online monthly report – November 2012

Published: December 2012

Jobs Online measures changes in job vacancies advertised on the two main internet job boards - Seek and Trade Me Jobs.

Fall in online vacancies in November

Jobs Online shows, in seasonally adjusted terms, that skilled[1]job vacancies decreased by 4.1% in November, following a rise in October. Similarly, all job vacancies decreased by 2.7% in November, following a rise in October.

Skilled job vacancies decreased in most regions, most industry groups and across all skilled occupation groups.

Over the year to November, skilled vacancies increased by 4.3% and all vacancies increased by 7.2%.

While there is some variation from month to month in the seasonally adjusted series, the trend in skilled vacancies has been slowly falling since August 2012 (see Figure 1). In trend terms, skilled vacancies decreased by 0.7% in November. Similarly, all vacancies decreased by 0.4% in November.

Figure 1: Skilled Vacancies Index
Seasonally adjusted and trend series (May 2007=100)

Figure 1: Skilled Vacancies Index (SVI) and All Vacancies Index (AVI) Trend series (May 2007=100)
Data table for Figure 1

Figure 2: All Vacancies Index
Seasonally adjusted and trend series (May 2007=100)

Figure 2: All Vacancies Index (AVI) Seasonally adjusted and trend series (May 2007=100)
Data table for Figure 2

Following the weak results from the September 2012 quarter Household Labour Force Survey, the latest Jobs Online shows that the labour market is still facing significant challenges.

The Ministry expects a gradual improvement in the labour market over the coming year, with employment forecast to grow by 1.8% in the year to March 2013 and by 2.1% in the year to March 2014[2].

Skilled job vacancies decreased in most industry groups and across all skilled occupation groups

In November, skilled job vacancies decreased in most industry groups (see Table 1). The biggest falls over the month were in the hospitality and tourism (down by 8.5%) and IT (down by 7.7%) industry groups. There was modest growth in construction and engineering (up by 3.1%) and education and training (up by 1.0%).

Over the year to November, skilled job vacancies increased in most industry groups. The demand for skilled workers was strongest in construction and engineering (up by 40.9%), followed by health and medical (up by 14.8%).

Table 1: Skilled Vacancies Index by industry group, seasonally adjusted

Industry Monthly change
(Oct 12-Nov 12)
Annual change
(Nov 11-Nov 12)
Construction and engineering
3.1%
40.9%
Education and training
1.0%
5.1%
Accounting, HR, legal and administration
-2.3%
-7.6%
Health and medical
-2.8%
14.8%
Sales, retail, marketing and advertising
-5.0%
-1.5%
Information technology
-7.7%
-10.3%
Hospitality and tourism
-8.5%
8.9%
Other
-1.9%
11.6%
Total skilled job vacancies
-4.1%
4.3%

Table 2: Skilled Vacancies Index by occupation group, seasonally adjusted

Occupation Monthly change
(Oct 12-Nov 12)
Annual change
(Nov 11-Nov 12)
Technicians and trades workers
-3.5%
19.9%
Managers
-4.2%
1.7%
Professionals
-4.2%
0.4%
Total skilled job vacancies
-4.1%
4.3%

Figure 3: Skilled Vacancies Index by industry group
Seasonally adjusted series (May 2007=100)

Figure 3: Skilled Vacancies Index (SVI) by industry group - Seasonally adjusted series (May 2007=100)
Data table for Figure 3

Figure 4: Skilled Vacancies Index by industry group
Trend series (May 2007=100)

Figure 4: Skilled Vacancies Index (SVI) by industry group - Trend series (May 2007=100)
Data table for Figure 4

In November, vacancies decreased in all skilled occupation groups (see Table 2). Vacancies for managers and professionals both fell by 4.2%, followed by technicians and trades workers (down by 3.5%).

Over the year, job vacancies increased across all skilled occupation groups. Technicians and trades workers had the biggest increase (up by 19.9%), followed by managers (up by 1.7%) and professionals (up by 0.4%).

Skilled job vacancies decreased in most regions

Skilled job vacancies were down in the country’s main centres with the biggest fall for the month in Canterbury (down by 5.2%), followed by Auckland (down by 4.7%) and Wellington (down by 3.5%), (see Table 3).

Table 3: Skilled Vacancies Index by region, seasonally adjusted

Region Monthly change
(Oct 12-Nov 12)
Annual change
(Nov 11-Nov 12)
Auckland
-4.7%
1.5%
Wellington
-3.5%
-0.5%
North Island – Other
0.1%
6.3%
Canterbury
-5.2%
21.2%
South Island – Other
-2.8%
1.3%
Nationwide
-4.1%
4.3%

Figure 5: Skilled Vacancies Index by region
Seasonally adjusted series (May 2007=100)

Figure 5: Skilled Vacancies Index  (SVI) by region - Seasonally adjusted series (May  2007=100)
Data table for Figure 5

Figure 6: Skilled Vacancies Index by region
Trend series (May 2007=100)

Figure 6: Skilled Vacancies Index  (SVI) by region - Trend series (May 2007=100)
Data table for Figure 6

Over the year, Canterbury showed the strongest growth in skilled vacancies of any region (up by 21.2%), followed by North Island – excluding Auckland and Wellington (up by 6.3%). The only fall in vacancies was for Wellington (down by 0.5%).

Construction and engineering drove vacancy growth in Canterbury

Construction and engineering vacancies (up by 100.2%) and IT (up by 10.1%) drove the growth in vacancies in Canterbury over the year. There was a fall in vacancies for the health and medical (down by 15.2%) and hospitality and tourism (down by 2.3%) industry groups.

Revisions

Jobs Online is adjusted for seasonal variations. In accordance with standard statistical practice, the entire series is revised each month and this can lead to noticeable revisions of previously published figures towards the end of the data series. Table 4 below gives a summary of revisions made to the previous Jobs Online reports over the past four months.

Table 4a: Revisions Summary - Skilled Vacancies Index

Month Skilled Vacancies Index
Revised Previously Published*
Monthly Annual Monthly Annual
Percentage change
Jul 2012
-1.7
5.3
-1.7
5.3
Aug 2012
3.8
7.8
3.8
7.8
Sep 2012
-5.1
3.8
-5.7
3.7
Oct 2012
4.8
14.2
5.6
14.2

* Figures as published last month

Table 4b: Revisions Summary - All Vacancies Index

Month All Vacancies Index
Revised Previously Published*
Monthly Annual Monthly Annual
Percentage change
Jul 2012
0.5
9.1
0.4
9.1
Aug 2012
2.3
7.8
2.3
7.8
Sep 2012
-4.2
4.5
-4.5
4.5
Oct 2012
4.3
15.0
4.7
15.0

* Figures as published last month

For further information

For more information on Jobs Online, see the Background and Methodology report.

For other reports visit the Labour and Immigration Research Centre or email research@mbie.govt.nz.

Future updates

This is a regular report – see our Release calendar for the next update.


Footnotes

[1] Skilled occupations are defined as skill levels 1-3 under the Australia New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO) 2006. Skill level 3 is equivalent to a national qualifications framework level 4 qualification.

[2] Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (November 2012) Quarterly Labour Market Report November 2012.