Labour Market Forecasting
Anticipating supply and demand in the labour market is a core service of the Labour and Immigration Research Centre. Analysis and commentary from our forecasting programme informs New Zealand employers and Government policy.
Medium-Long Term Employment Outlook: Looking ahead to 2020
Released in July 2012, these forecasts are broken down by industries, occupations and broad skill groups. Constraints on labour supply such as an ageing population and reduced growth in the labour force indicate that growth in the five years to March 2020 will be slightly lower than in the five years to March 2015. Hence with their longer-term outlook, these projections will be used to inform medium-long term policy advice relating to immigration policy settings, and priority setting for tertiary education and industry training.
Short-term Employment Prospects: 2012-15
Released in December 2012, these employment forecasts provide an outlook on industry, occupation and regional employment prospects to March 2015.
The short-term term forecasting model draws on the latest macroeconomic forecasts by the Treasury and the Reserve Bank to provide more detailed information on the labour market.