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Labour Market Forecasting

Anticipating supply and demand in the labour market is a core service of the Labour and Immigration Research Centre. Analysis and commentary from our forecasting programme informs New Zealand employers and Government policy.

Medium-Long Term Employment Outlook: Looking ahead to 2023
Released in December 2014, the employment outlook for the 2013-23 March year period is outlined in this paper, broken down by industry and occupation and is an update on the Medium-long term outlook released in late-2013.

Short-term Employment Forecasts: 2014-2017
Employment forecasts over the 3 years to March 2017 are presented in this report. These employment forecasts will be used to inform the Ministry’s advice relating to immigration priorities, and priority setting for tertiary education and industry training over the next 2-3 years.

Short-term Employment Prospects: 2014-16
Released in March 2014, Employment prospects over the next 3 years to March 2016 are presented in this report which is an update on the employment prospects for the three years assessed in mid-2013.

Medium-Long Term Employment Outlook: Looking ahead to 2021
Released in November 2013, the employment outlook for the 2011-21 March year period is outlined in this paper, broken down by industry and occupation and is an update on the Medium-long term outlook released in mid-2012.

Labour Supply Forecasting by Age, Gender and Qualification
This report presents forecasts to 2015 for labour supply, working age population and labour force participation rates. The report describes the methodology and the conceptual framework for the forecasting process.