Labour Market Reports

Manawatu/ Wanganui - QUARTERLY REGIONAL LABOUR MARKET UPDATE

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The labour force participation rate in Manawatu-Wanganui stood at 66.8% during the year to December 2006 up from 65.5% the year before. In comparison, the national average participation rate was 68.4% for the year to December 2006.

The unemployment rate in Manawatu-Wanganui increased to 4.4% for the year to December 2006 (national average: 3.8%) from 4.3% in the year to December 2005.

There were 3,076 working aged people receiving unemployment benefits from Work and Income in the Manawatu-Wanganui region at the end of December 2006.

Advertised vacancies in Manawatu-Wanganui declined by 0.8% in the year to December 2006, compared with a fall of 8.0% at the national level.

The data presented in this report is by regional council boundaries. This the first time some of this information has been available using regional council boundaries.

BACKGROUND

This report includes information relating to the area covered by the Manawatu-Wanganui region as described below:

The Manawatu-Wanganui regional council area has a population of 222,423 and is located between Taranaki in the west, Waikato in the north, Hawke's Bay in the east and Wellington in the south. It has 7 territorial authority areas from north to south: Ruapehu with a population of 13,572; Wanganui with a population of 42639; Rangitikei with a population of 14,712; Manawatu with a population of 28,254; Tararua with a population of 17,634; Palmerston North with a population of 75,543; and Horowhenua with a population of 29,865.
Source: Subnational Population Estimates, Statistics New Zealand

This report is a quarterly update of current labour market conditions in the Manawatu-Wanganui region.The sources of statistics are the Statistics New Zealand Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS), Ministry of Social Development (MSD) and the Department of Labour Job Vacancy Monitor (JVM). To counter the effects of seasonality and low sample size when making comparisons over time, the figures presented are averages for the year up to the quarter indicated, unless otherwise stated.

In the year to December 2006 the working-age population in the Manawatu-Wanganui region was 180,100. The labour force participation rate was 66.8% while 120,200 people were in the labour force and 59,900 people were 'not in the labour force'. Of those people who were in the labour force, 4.4%, or 5,300 were unemployed and 114,900 were employed.
Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

Notes:

1. Participation rate: proportion of the working-age population that is in the labour force.
2. Employment rate: proportion of the working-age population that is employed. 
3. Unemployment rate: proportion of the labour force that is unemployed.

POPULATION

The working-age population in the Manawatu-Wanganui region is estimated at 180,100 in the year to December 2006.

LABOUR FORCE

The participation rate in Manawatu-Wanganui stood at 66.8% during the year to December 2006 up from 65.5% the year before. In comparison, the national average participation rate was 68.4% for the year to December 2006.


The number of people in the labour force in the Manawatu-Wanganui region is estimated to be 120,200 in the year to December 2006.

Figure 1: Regional and national trends in the participation rate

annual average, %	Manawatu-Wanganui	New    Zealand
Dec 97	61.5	65.7
Dec 98	60.5	65.3
Dec 99	59.3	65.4
Dec 00	60.0	65.5
Dec 01	62.1	66.0
Dec 02	63.9	66.7
Dec 03	63.6	66.4
Dec 04	62.6	67.0
Dec 05	65.5	67.8
Dec 06	66.8	68.4

Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

For a more detailed explanation of the labour force and the participation rate, go to the Department of Labour publication: workINSIGHT, issue 5, page 35, The Labour Market Explained: The Labour Force Participation Rate at www.workINSIGHT.govt.nz.

EMPLOYMENT

The employment rate (the proportion of the working-age population that is employed) in Manawatu-Wanganui stood at 63.8% during the year to December 2006 up from 62.7% the year before. In comparison, the national average employment rate was 65.8%.

Employment in the Manawatu-Wanganui region was 114,900 in the year to December 2006.

Figure 2: Regional and national trends in the employment rate

annual average, %	Manawatu-Wanganui	New   Zealand
Dec 97	58.1	61.3
Dec 98	56.3	60.4
Dec 99	55.3	61.0
Dec 00	56.3	61.5
Dec 01	59.0	62.5
Dec 02	60.7	63.2
Dec 03	60.7	63.3
Dec 04	59.9	64.4
Dec 05	62.7	65.3
Dec 06	63.8	65.8

Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

For a more detailed explanation of employment, go to the Department of Labour publication: workINSIGHT, issue 4, page 32, The Labour Market Explained: Employment at www.workINSIGHT.govt.nz.

UNEMPLOYMENT

The region's unemployment rate increased to 4.4% in the year to December 2006, from 4.3% the year before. In comparison, the national average unemployment rate was 3.8% for the year to December 2006.

The number of unemployed people in the region (as measured by the official statistics) is estimated at 5,300 for the year to December 2006.

Figure 3: Regional and national trends in the unemployment rate

annual average, %	Manawatu-Wanganui	New Zealand
Dec 97	5.6	6.6
Dec 98	6.9	7.5
Dec 99	6.9	6.8
Dec 00	6.3	6.0
Dec 01	5.1	5.3
Dec 02	5.1	5.2
Dec 03	4.6	4.7
Dec 04	4.3	3.9
Dec 05	4.3	3.7
Dec 06	4.4	3.8

Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

The Household Labour Force Survey provides an estimate of all persons in the working-age population who during a particular week were without a paid job, available for work and had either actively sought work in the previous four weeks, or had a new job to start within four weeks of the survey week. These numbers will not align exactly with numbers receiving an income tested benefit such as Unemployment Benefit (see next page). There are a range of reasons for this. For example, recipients of income tested benefits can be employed part time up to specified income limits, whereas a respondent to the Household Labour Force Survey must have worked less than an hour during the week being surveyed to count as officially unemployed.

UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS

The Ministry of Social Development has recently begun to make information on numbers receiving social security benefits available for Territorial Local Authorities. This information also supports display by Regional Council area, the same geographic basis on which other information in this report has been displayed. It will be some time yet before this is available as an annual time-series, so comparisons over time are provided for New Zealand as a whole.

There were 3,076 working aged people receiving unemployment benefits from Work and Income in the Manawatu-Wanganui region at the end of December 2006. Their characteristics are shown in the next table.

Table 2: Working aged unemployment benefit recipients (aged 18-64) in the Manawatu-Wanganui region and nationally during December 2006

	Region		New Zealand		Region's share of New Zealand (%)
	Share (%)	Number	Share (%)	Number
Male	66.2	2,036	65.1	25,256	8.1
Female	33.8	1,040	34.9	13,540	7.7
Maori	41.5	1,277	36.5	14,161	9.0
Pacific People	1.7	52	8.3	3,220	1.6
18-24 years	25.4	781	24.7	9,583	8.2
25-39 years	34.5	1,061	33.0	12,803	8.3
40-54 years	22.2	683	22.1	8,574	8.0
55-64 years	17.9	551	20.2	7,837	7.0
Total		3,076		38,796	7.9

Source: MSD

These values occur against a backdrop of significant reductions in the number of current unemployment benefits over time.

Figure 4: Clients receiving Unemployment Benefits for the whole of New Zealand, December 2002 - December 2006

('000)	Maori	NZ European	Pacific Island	Other
December 2002	38,532	55,048	9,485	15,074
December 2003	31,747	40,739	7,252	14,610
December 2004	22,688	27,902	4,980	10,399
December 2005	18,655	20,919	4,075	7,777
December 2006	14,174	15,573	3,235	5,814

Source: MSD

Notes: Other includes not specified. Values for the end of the December quarter.

JOB VACANCY TRENDS

The Job Vacancy Monitor (JVM) is a monthly analysis of job advertisements in selected editions of 25 major newspapers around New Zealand and three websites advertising IT vacancies. Over time, JVM informs us about the tightness of the labour market.

Advertised vacancies in Manawatu-Wanganui declined by 0.8% in the year to December 2006, compared with a fall of 8.0% at the national level.

Advertisements for highly skilled (legal/admin/managers & professionals) occupations in Manawatu-Wanganui grew by 3.5% in the year to December 2006.

Advertisements for skilled (ass.profs/tech & trades workers) occupations in Manawatu-Wanganui declined by 3.9% in the year to December 2006.

Advertisements for semi-skilled / elementary (clerks, serv/sales workes, agr/fish workers, plant /mach operators & elementary) occupations in Manawatu-Wanganui declined by 1.1% in the year to December 2006.

Figure 5: Regional and national trends in vacancy counts in the Manawatu-Wanganui region

annual average % change	Year to December 2005	Year to December 2006
Region	8.9	-0.8
New Zealand	5.1	-8.0

Source: Job Vacancy Monitor, Department of Labour

Figure 6: Regional trends in vacancy counts in the year to December 2006 by occupation group for the Manawatu-Wanganui region

annual average % change	Year to December 2005	Year to December 2006
Legislators / Managers	45.1	-5.1
Professionals	10.7	8.7
Highly skilled	21.5	3.5
Ass. Profs / Technicians	6.0	0.8
Trades Workers	2.2	-9.8
Skilled	4.3	-3.9
Clerks	-2.2	1.3
Services / Sales Workers	7.6	6.0
Agr and Fishery Worker	-6.2	-8.0
Plant and Mach Operators	20.3	-8.8
Elementary Occupations	16.8	-7.8
Elementary/ Semi Skilled	7.1	-1.1

Source: Job Vacancy Monitor, Department of Labour

For a more detailed labour market outlook for New Zealand as a whole, go to the Department of Labour’s Labour Market Outlook Report at http://www.dol.govt.nz/publications/lmr/lmr-labour-market-outlook.asp.

For more detailed results from the Job Vacancy Monitor, go to the Department of Labour’s Job Vacancy Monitoring Reports at http://www.dol.govt.nz/publications/jvm/job-ad-monthly-report.asp.

HIGH VACANCY OCCUPATIONS

Below is a list of occupations from the JVM that have the highest number of vacancies (high vacancy occupations), and those occupations that have shown the highest growth in advertised vacancies in terms of percentage change (top percentage growth occupations) and numerical change (top numeric growth occupations) in Manawatu-Wanganui.

The number of vacancies is measured as the total number of vacancies advertised in the twelve months to December 2006. The growth in vacancies compares the number of advertised vacancies in the 12 months to December 2006 with the previous 12 months. Percentage growth figures are only included if at least 24 vacancies occurred in the year to December 2005.

 

GLOSSARY

Working-age population: population aged 15 years and over.

Labour force: number of people who are either in work or are available and actively seeking work (that is, employed or unemployed as defined below).

Employment: number of people in work of one hour or more per week.

Unemployment: number of people who are not in work, but who are available for and actively seeking work.

Not in the labour force: number of people who are not in work and are either not available or not actively seeking work (that is, they are not employed and not unemployed). This includes for example, retired people, students and people at home with children.

Labour force participation rate: proportion of the working-age population that is in the labour force.

Unemployment rate: proportion of the labour force that is unemployed.

Employment rate: proportion of the working-age population that is employed.

Job Vacancy Count: a monthly count of job advertisements in selected editions of 25 major newspapers around New Zealand and three websites advertising IT vacancies, published by Department of Labour (http://www.dol.govt.nz/publications/jvm/job-ad-monthly-report.asp).

Highly skilled workers: legislators, administrators and managers, and professionals.

Skilled workers: technicians and associate professionals, and trades workers.

Semi-skilled/elementary: clerks, services/sales workers, plant/machinery workers, and elementary workers.

Annual average: the average for a whole year (eg year to December 2006).

Annual average percentage change: the percentage change between the average for a whole year (eg the year to December 2006) and the previous year (eg the year to December 2005). Unless stated, all growth rates are annual average percentage changes.

LINKS TO OTHER LABOUR MARKET REPORTS

Skills in the labour market: summarises quarterly information on skill shortages, primarily focused on the Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) and the Job Vacancy Monitor (JVM) from the Department of Labour.

Labour market outlook: provides an outlook for the labour market over the next two years. The forecasts are detailed in a table and accompanied by descriptive analysis and a table of comparative forecasts is presented in an Appendix.

Employment/unemployment: a report that informs about the results from the latest Household Labour Force Survey released by Statistics New Zealand.

Wage growth: a report that examines the wage growth measures for the latest quarter from the Labour Cost Index (LCI) and Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) released by Statistics New Zealand. A technical note and data tables are included
in the appendices.

Maori labour market outcomes: a 6-monthly update focusing on changes in the past six years and prospects for the next two years. Data are from the quarterly Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) from Statistics New Zealand amongst others.

Contact: Charlotte Bull Department of Labour Communications Advisor (04) 915-4716

Disclaimer: The Department of Labour has made every effort to ensure that the information contained in this report is reliable, but makes no guarantee of its accuracy or completeness and does not accept any liability for any errors. The information and opinions contained in this report are not intended to be used as a basis for commercial decisions and the Department accepts no liability for any decisions made in reliance on them. The Department may change, add to, delete from, or otherwise amend the contents of this report at any time without notice. The material contained in this report is subject to Crown copyright protection unless otherwise indicated. The Crown copyright protected material may be reproduced free of charge in any format or media without requiring specific permission. This is subject to the material being reproduced accurately and not being used in a derogatory manner or in a misleading context. Where the material is being published or issued to others, the source and copyright status should be acknowledged. The permission to reproduce Crown copyright protected material does not extend to any material in this report that is identified as being the copyright of a third party. Authorisation to reproduce such material should be obtained from the copyright holders.