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Regional Labour Market reports

OTAGO - QUARTERLY REGIONAL LABOUR MARKET UPDATE - DECEMBER 2011

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The labour force participation rate in Otago stood at 70.7% during the year to December 2011 up from 68.9% the year before. In comparison, the national average participation rate was 68.4% for the year to December 2011.

The unemployment rate in Otago remained the same at 4.9% for the year to December 2011 (national average: 6.5%)

There were 2,707 working aged people receiving unemployment benefits from Work and Income in the Otago region at the end of December 2011.

BACKGROUND

This report includes information relating to the area covered by the Otago region as described below:

The Otago regional council area has a population of 193,800 and is located to the south of Canterbury and to the north of Southland. It has 5 territorial authority areas from north to south: Queenstown-Lakes with a population of 22,959; Central Otago with a population of 16,647; Waitaki with a population of 15,051; Dunedin with a population of 118,683; Clutha with a population of 16,839.
Source: Population Census 2006, Statistics New Zealand

This report is a quarterly update of current labour market conditions in the Otago region.The sources of statistics are the Statistics New Zealand Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) and the Ministry of Social Development (MSD). To counter the effects of seasonality and low sample size when making comparisons over time, the figures presented are averages for the year up to the quarter indicated, unless otherwise stated.

Table 1: Key labour market data for the Otago region
  Otago New Zealand
HLFS Indicator year to
December 2010
year to
December 2011
year to
December 2010
year to
December 2011
Participation rate, ann ave 68.9% 70.7% 68.1% 68.4%
Employment rate, ann ave 65.6% 67.3% 63.6% 63.9%
Unemployment rate, ann ave 4.9% 4.9% 6.5% 6.5%

Table 1b: Key labour market data for the Otago region
  Otago New Zealand
  End of
December 2011
End of
December 2011
% change since
Unemployment Beneficiary Indicator ('000) share in NZ ('000) December 2007
Working aged UB/UBH recipients (aged 18-64) 2,707 4.5% 59,964 163.6%
Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand; Ministry of Social Development

In the year to December 2011 the working-age population in the Otago region was 186,300. The labour force participation rate was 70.7% while 131,700 people were in the labour force and 54,600 people were 'not in the labour force'. Of those people who were in the labour force, 4.9%, or 6,400 were unemployed and 125,300 were employed.
Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

Notes:

  1. Participation rate: proportion of the working-age population that is in the labour force.
  2. Employment rate: proportion of the working-age population that is employed.
  3. Unemployment rate: proportion of the labour force that is unemployed.

POPULATION

The working-age population in the Otago region is estimated at 186,300 in the year to December 2011.

LABOUR FORCE

The participation rate in Otago stood at 70.7% during the year to December 2011 up from 68.9% the year before. In comparison, the national average participation rate was 68.4% for the year to December 2011.

The number of people in the labour force in the Otago region is estimated to be 131,700 in the year to December 2011.

Figure 1: Regional and national trends in the participation rate
annual average, % Otago New Zealand
Dec 02 65.8 66.6
Dec 03 65.6 66.4
Dec 04 66.3 67.0
Dec 05 66.1 67.8
Dec 06 67.0 68.3
Dec 07 66.7 68.5
Dec 08 66.0 68.5
Dec 09 66.2 68.3
Dec 10 68.9 68.1
Dec 11 70.7 68.4
Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

For a more detailed explanation of the labour force and the participation rate, go to the Department of Labour publication: workINSIGHT, issue 5, page 35, The Labour Market Explained: The Labour Force Participation Rate at www.workINSIGHT.govt.nz.

EMPLOYMENT

The employment rate (the proportion of the working-age population that is employed) in Otago stood at 67.3% during the year to December 2011 up from 65.6% the year before. In comparison, the national average employment rate was 63.9%.

Employment in the Otago region was 125,300 in the year to December 2011.

Figure 2: Regional and national trends in the employment rate
annual average, % Otago New Zealand
Dec 02 61.8 63.0
Dec 03 61.8 63.2
Dec 04 63.7 64.3
Dec 05 63.7 65.2
Dec 06 64.4 65.6
Dec 07 64.5 66.0
Dec 08 63.9 65.6
Dec 09 63.0 64.1
Dec 10 65.6 63.6
Dec 11 67.3 63.9
Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

For a more detailed explanation of employment, go to the Department of Labour publication: workINSIGHT, issue 4, page 32, The Labour Market Explained: Employment at www.workINSIGHT.govt.nz.

UNEMPLOYMENT

The region's unemployment rate remained steady at 4.9% in the year to December 2011.In comparison, the national average unemployment rate was 6.5% for the year to December 2011.

The number of unemployed people in the region (as measured by the official statistics) is estimated at 6,400 for the year to December 2011.

Figure 3: Regional and national trends in the unemployment rate
annual average, % Otago New Zealand
Dec 02 6.0 5.3
Dec 03 5.7 4.8
Dec 04 3.9 4.1
Dec 05 3.7 3.8
Dec 06 3.8 3.9
Dec 07 3.4 3.7
Dec 08 3.2 4.2
Dec 09 4.8 6.1
Dec 10 4.9 6.5
Dec 11 4.9 6.5
Source: HLFS, Statistics New Zealand

The Household Labour Force Survey provides an estimate of all persons in the working-age population who during a particular week were without a paid job, available for work and had either actively sought work in the previous four weeks, or had a new job to start within four weeks of the survey week. These numbers will not align exactly with numbers receiving an income tested benefit such as Unemployment Benefit (see next page). There are a range of reasons for this. For example, recipients of income tested benefits can be employed part time up to specified income limits, whereas a respondent to the Household Labour Force Survey must have worked less than an hour during the week being surveyed to count as officially unemployed.

UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS

The Ministry of Social Development has recently begun to make information on numbers receiving social security benefits available for Territorial Local Authorities. This information also supports display by Regional Council area, the same geographic basis on which other information in this report has been displayed. It will be some time yet before this is available as an annual time-series, so comparisons over time are provided for New Zealand as a whole.

There were 2,707 working aged people receiving unemployment benefits from Work and Income in the Otago region at the end of December 2011. Their characteristics are shown in the next table.

Table 2: Working aged unemployment benefit recipients (aged 18-64) in the Otago region and nationally during December 2011
  Region New Zealand Region's share of New Zealand (%)
Share (%) Number Share (%) Number
Total   2,707   59,964 4.5
Male 67.9 1,836 69.1 41,417 4.4
Female 32.1 870 30.9 18,546 4.7
Maori 15.2 412 37.1 22,246 1.9
Pacific People 2.7 73 8.8 5,246 1.4
18-24 years 37.9 1,027 30.4 18,199 5.6
25-39 years 29.0 786 31.0 18,606 4.2
40-54 years 21.1 570 27.1 16,262 3.5
55-64 years 12.0 324 11.5 6,901 4.7
Source: Ministry of Social Development

These values occur against a backdrop of significant reductions in the number of current unemployment benefits over time at the national level.

Figure 4: Clients receiving Unemployment Benefits for the whole of New Zealand, December 2007 - December 2011
('000) Maori NZ European Pacific Island Other
December 2007 8,684 8,706 1,883 3,475
December 2008 11,061 11,804 2,846 4,797
December 2009 22,798 26,049 7,136 10,345
December 2010 23,923 26,409 6,568 10,184
December 2011 22,245 23,728 5,246 8,745
Source: MSD

Notes: Other includes not specified. Values for the end of the December quarter.

GLOSSARY

Working-age population: population aged 15 years and over.

Labour force: number of people who are either in work or are available and actively seeking work (that is, employed or unemployed as defined below).

Employment: number of people in work of one hour or more per week.

Unemployment: number of people who are not in work, but who are available for and actively seeking work.

Not in the labour force: number of people who are not in work and are either not available or not actively seeking work (that is, they are not employed and not unemployed). This includes for example, retired people, students and people at home with children.

Labour force participation rate: proportion of the working-age population that is in the labour force.

Unemployment rate: proportion of the labour force that is unemployed.

Employment rate: proportion of the working-age population that is employed.

Highly skilled workers: legislators, administrators and managers, and professionals.

Skilled workers: technicians and associate professionals, and trades workers.

Semi-skilled/elementary: clerks, services/sales workers, plant/machinery workers, and elementary workers.

Annual average: the average for a whole year (eg year to December 2006).

Annual average percentage change: the percentage change between the average for a whole year (eg the year to December 2006) and the previous year (eg the year to December 2005). Unless stated, all growth rates are annual average percentage changes.

LINKS TO OTHER LABOUR MARKET REPORTS

Annual in-depth regional labour market reports: 12 reports that provide a detailed look at the drivers of regional labour market dynamics with sub-regional (Territorial Authority) information included where available. They contain detailed and wide-ranging labour market statistics supplemented by qualitative information from the regions.

Labour market outlook: provides an outlook for the labour market over the next two years. The forecasts are detailed in a table and accompanied by descriptive analysis and a table of comparative forecasts is presented in an Appendix.

Employment and unemployment: a report that summarises results from the latest Household Labour Force Survey released by Statistics New Zealand.

Wage growth: a report that examines the wage growth measures for the latest quarter from the Labour Cost Index (LCI) and Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) released by Statistics New Zealand. A technical note and data tables are included in the appendices.

Labour Market Reports: the Department of Labour produces a range of reports which focus on labour market statistics and trends in New Zealand.

Contact: The Department of Labour at info@dol.govt.nz

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